Creating Markets

How to launch a Bubblegum prediction market — choose a question, pick a ticker, and go live in seconds. No capital required.

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Creating Markets

Launching a Bubblegum market takes about 30 seconds. You don’t need seed capital, LP tokens, or a market maker. Just a question and a ticker.

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What You Need

Field	Description	Example
Question	The binary prediction question. Should have a clear YES/NO answer.	”Will SOL hit $500 by end of 2025?”
Ticker	A short symbol for the market’s token (like a stock ticker).	$SOL500
Deadline	When the market closes and becomes eligible for settlement.	December 31, 2025

That’s it. No liquidity deposit. No collateral.

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What Happens When You Create

When you submit your market, a single atomic transaction on Solana:

1. Creates your token — a brand new SPL token with your chosen ticker and metadata
2. Launches the bonding curve — $TICKER is immediately tradeable against SOL
3. Opens the prediction market — YES and NO outcome tokens are ready, starting at 50/50 odds
4. Seeds initial reserve — a portion of the token supply is deposited into the prediction market to provide starting depth

Your market is live instantly. Anyone can start trading YES or NO the moment the transaction confirms.

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Writing Good Questions

The best Bubblegum markets have questions that are:

Binary and unambiguous

The answer must clearly be YES or NO. Avoid subjective questions.

Good: “Will Bitcoin hit $200,000 before January 1, 2026?” Bad: “Will crypto have a good year?”

Time-bounded

Every question needs a clear deadline. This is when the market closes and gets settled.

Good: “Will Apple release AR glasses by Q4 2025?” Bad: “Will Apple ever release AR glasses?”

Verifiable

The outcome should be checkable against a public source of truth.

Good: “Will the US Federal Reserve cut rates at the June 2025 FOMC meeting?” Bad: “Will the economy improve?”

Interesting

Markets that attract attention attract traders. Traders create liquidity. Liquidity creates better prices. Better prices attract more traders.

Think about what crypto twitter, your community, or the broader public cares about right now.

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Choosing a Ticker

Your ticker becomes the identity of your market’s token. Pick something:

• Short — 3 to 8 characters works best
• Memorable — people will share it and talk about it
• Relevant — it should hint at what the market is about

Question	Good Ticker	Why
”Will SOL hit $500?”	$SOL500	Clear, descriptive
”Will Trump win 2028?”	$TRUMP28	Recognizable, time-specific
”Will ETH flip BTC?”	$ETHFLIP	Catchy, describes the event

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After Creation

Once your market is live:

• You start earning fees — every trade on your market sends a cut to your wallet
• The bonding curve fills — as traders buy in, the curve progress bar advances toward graduation
• Odds shift — YES/NO prices move based on trader sentiment
• You can trade too — creators can trade on their own markets

You don’t need to do anything to maintain the market. Liquidity is automatic, pricing is automatic, and settlement happens after the deadline.

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Market Lifecycle

Your market goes through these phases:

1. Live on Curve

   Traders buy and sell YES/NO through the bonding curve. Token price and odds move independently. The curve progress bar shows how close the market is to graduation.

2. Graduation

   When the bonding curve fills up, the token graduates to its own permanent AMM pool. Liquidity is locked forever. The prediction market keeps running.

3. Trading Continues

   After graduation, traders can buy $TICKER on the open AMM pool and trade YES/NO through the prediction market. Both markets run independently.

4. Settlement

   After the deadline passes, the market is settled with the correct outcome. Winners redeem their tokens. You receive your share of remaining reserve.

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Tips for Creators

• Timely questions perform best. Markets tied to upcoming events (elections, product launches, macro data) attract more attention than distant hypotheticals.
• Share your market. The more people see it, the more they trade. The more they trade, the more you earn.
• Controversial questions get volume. If people disagree, they’ll trade against each other. Balanced markets are the healthiest.
• Watch the curve progress. Markets approaching graduation often get a surge of attention — that’s when the flywheel kicks in hardest.